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The Daily Edge: 3/11 NBA Props Edition
Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.
Table of Contents
Welcome back to the WagerLens Daily Newsletter! Two surprise DNPs limited our success yesterday, but still 1-0 on the day. Today’s NBA slate features only four games and we adjust our picks accordingly. If we don’t see strong options to keep us winning, sometimes the best strategy is to wait for tomorrow.
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
Yesterday (3/10): 1-0 (100%)
NBA: 86-52 (62.3%)
March ‘25: 22-6 (78.5%)
All-Time: 91-59 (60.7%)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 51.5 PRA
Best Price: -120 on DraftKings
Recent Performance
Last Game: 42 PRA
Last 3-Game Average: 48.3 PRA
Last 5-Game Average: 48.0 PRA
Season Average: 48.8 PRA
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
9 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Giannis and the Bucks have a tough away matchup against Indiana. Milwaukee struggles on the road and Giannis has been consistently below today’s PRA line for the season. We expect a tight game with full defensive focus on Antetokounmpo, making his line a strong wager.
Risk Factors
Giannis always has potential for a spike game
Potential shootout for teams familiar with each other’s defense
🎯 Tobias Harris OVER 20.5 PR
Best Price: -122 on FanDuel
Recent Performance
Last Game: 29 PR
Last 3-Game Average: 27.7 PR
Last 5-Game Average: 24.4 PR
Season Average: 20.0 PR
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
8 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Recently Harris has been an increased rebound presence on top of his 15+ PPG average. The Pistons have a cupcake home matchup against the Wizards tonight, making his 20.5 PR line a clear target.
Risk Factors
Early blowout could cause reduced minutes for starters
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices.
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Tobias Harris OVER 20.5 PR (-122 on FanDuel)
Hot streak: 5/L5 Over
Averaging 27.7 PR over L3
Home matchup against a bad team favors higher scoring for Detroit
Trending Unders
1. 📉 Giannis Antetokounmpo UNDER 51.5 PRA (-120 on DraftKings)
9/L10 games staying UNDER
Line is well above his season PRA average
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
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— The WagerLens Team