The Daily Edge: 3/13 NBA Props Edition

Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

March 13, 2025

Table of Contents

Our hot streak continues, going 2-1 yesterday! With just five NBA games on the slate today, we're gearing up for the madness ahead—March Madness and MLB Opening Day are right around the corner.

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Join the action now! Links to both brackets are below and on X. Let’s cash some winners! 💰🏀

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (03/12): 2-1 (67%)

NBA: 89-54 (62%)

March ‘25: 25-8 (75.8%)

All-Time: 94-61 (60.7%)

🎯 Cam Thomas UNDER 3.5 Rebounds

Best Price: -130 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 1 rebound

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2 RPG

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1.8 RPG

  • Season Average: 3.2 RPG

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Cam Thomas’ rebound line tonight is set around his season average, but recent trends suggest a potential edge. Over his last five games, Thomas is averaging just 1.8 rebounds per game. In his last matchup against the Bulls, he failed to grab a single board—despite logging 32+ minutes, well above his recent 28.3 MPG.

Risk Factors

  • Bulls allow 2nd most rebounds per game to opponents

  • Thomas has as many as 7 rebounds in a game this season

🎯 Austin Reaves UNDER 23.5 Points

Best Price: -120 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 17 points

  • Last 3-Game Average: 13.7 PPG

  • Last 5-Game Average: 14 PPG

  • Season Average: 18.8 PPG

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Austin Reaves has been in a scoring funk, averaging just 14.0 PPG over his last five games—well below his 18.8 PPG season average. While the absences of Rui Hachimura and LeBron James could open up more opportunities, Reaves’ recent struggles have come even with them sidelined.

One key factor to monitor: Luka Dončić is listed as questionable. If he sits, the defensive matchups could shift, potentially impacting Reaves’ scoring outlook.

Risk Factors

  • Lakers injuries

  • High ceiling for PPG

🎯 Kevin Huerter UNDER 16.5 PA (Points + Assists)

Best Price: -118 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 14 PA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 13.7 PA/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 14.8 PA/G

  • Season Average: 10.3 PA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 4 out of last 5 under

  • 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Kevin Huerter has consistently fallen short of tonight’s 16.5 PA line, averaging just 10.3 PA/G this season and staying under this number in 8 of his last 10 games. His last matchup against the Nets was no different, finishing with just 11 PA—well below tonight’s mark. Home-court advantage hasn’t helped either, as Huerter averages just 10.6 PA/G at home this season. However, the absences of Lonzo Ball and Josh Giddey could impact his role.

Risk Factors

  • Ball and Giddey out

  • Recent 27 PA performance

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Kevin Huerter UNDER 16.5 PA (-118 FanDuel)

    • Most consistent trend: 3/3 in L3

    • Averaging just 10.3 PA/G this season and staying under this number in 8 of his last 10 games

    • Only 11 PA in last matchup with Brooklyn

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Austin Reaves UNDER 23.5 Points (-120 DraftKings)

  • 9/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Averaging just 14.0 PPG over his last five games

  • Has performed under this line in 5 straight games

2. 📉 Cam Thomas UNDER 3.5 Rebounds (-130 DraftKings)

  • 5/L5 games staying UNDER

  • Averaging just 1.8 RPG over last 5 games

  • 0 rebounds in last matchup with Bulls

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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— The WagerLens Team