The Daily Edge: 2/24 NBA Props Edition

Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

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💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Paul George UNDER 19.5 Points

Best Price: -120 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 15 points

  • Last 3-Game Average: 11.3 points

  • Last 5-Game Average: 12 points

  • Season Average: 16.1 points

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Paul George hasn't quite looked like himself this season. His points per game average is the lowest it’s been since the 2014-15 season, and his production in recent games hasn’t been much better. Both his season and last 10-game averages sit below the current scoring line, and he’s struggled in matchups against the Bulls—managing just 10.5 points per game against them this season.

Risk Factors

  • Averaging 18.1 PPG at home this season

  • High points ceiling

🎯 Mike Conley OVER 4.5 Assists

Best Price: -112 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 5 assists

  • Last 3-Game Average: 5 assists

  • Last 5-Game Average: 6.6 assists

  • Season Average: 4.6 assists

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 5 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Mike Conley has been making a bigger impact as a facilitator in recent games. While his season assist average remains lower than in previous years and sits around tonight’s projected line, his playmaking has picked up over the last 10 games, where he’s averaged 6.6 assists per contest. In last night’s matchup against OKC, he recorded 5 assists, showing signs of consistency as he looks to keep the momentum going.

Risk Factors

  • Back-to-back games against OKC

  • Low floor for assists

🎯 Julian Phillips UNDER 0.5 Turnovers

Best Price: -130 on ESPNBet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 0 turnovers

  • Last 3-Game Average: 0 turnovers

  • Last 5-Game Average: 0 turnovers

  • Season Average: 0.4 turnovers

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Julian Phillips has done an excellent job taking care of the ball lately, committing just one turnover over his last 10 games. Even in his two matchups against the 76ers this season, he’s turned the ball over just once. However, he’ll be tested tonight, as Philadelphia boasts the second-highest opponent turnover rate in the NBA.

Risk Factors

  • 76ers opponent turnover rate

  • Recent increase in minutes played

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Mike Conley OVER 4.5 Assists (-112 FanDuel)

  • Most consistent trend: 9/10 in L10 

  • Averaging 2 more assists than current line in L10 games

  • Great value for based on recent performance

1. 📉 Julian Phillips UNDER 0.5 Turnovers (-130 ESPNBet)

  • 9/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Just 1 turnover in 2 matchups with 76ers this season

  • 0 turnovers in 38/55 games this season

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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