The Daily Edge: 2/26 NBA Props Edition

Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

It’s a new day and we’re back with another edition of the Daily Edge! Yesterday's edition brought us 2 great wins and another profitable day.

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💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Paul George Under 25.5 PRA

Best Price: -120 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 23 PRA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 22.7 PRA

  • Last 5-Game Average: 19.8 PRA

  • Season Average: 25.6 PRA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Paul George has been consistently underperforming his PRA line in recent games. His five-game average of 19.8 PRA shows a significant drop from his season average of 25.6, suggesting either a change in role, reduced minutes, or a temporary slump. The market has set the line close to his season average, but his recent form indicates he's unlikely to reach this total.

Risk Factors

  • Season average suggests higher ceiling than recent performance

  • Veteran player capable of breaking slumps without warning

🎯 Jordan Clarkson Over 2.5 Threes

Best Price: -125 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 4 threes

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3.3 threes

  • Last 5-Game Average: 4.2 threes

  • Season Average: 2.5 threes

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Clarkson's three-point shooting has been exceptional lately, with his recent averages significantly outpacing both his season average and today's line. His five-game average of over 4 threes a game means he's not just clearing this line but smashing it consistently.

Risk Factors

  • Three-point shooting variance can lead to cold streaks

  • Heavier juice across all books suggests market is catching up

  • Utah's rotations can sometimes limit minutes unexpectedly

🎯 Mikal Bridges U 19.5 PA (Points + Assists)

Best Price: -120 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 15 PA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 17.3 PA

  • Last 5-Game Average: 15.6 PA

  • Season Average: 20.8 PA

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Bridges has been consistently falling short of this line recently despite a season average slightly above it. His last five games have averaged just 15.6 PA, well below the prop line of 19.5. This suggests either a temporary role adjustment or possibly a strategic shift in the Knicks' offensive scheme.

Risk Factors

  • Season average (20.8 PA) sits above the line

  • High-paced matchups could increase overall offensive production

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Jordan Clarkson OVER 2.5 Threes (-125 FanDuel)

    • Most consistent trend: 9/10 in L10

    • Averaging 4.2 threes in L5

    • Strong recent performance well above line

  1. 📉 Paul George UNDER 25.5 PRA (-120 FanDuel)

    • Strong trend: 9/10 unders in L10

    • Recent average (19.8) well below line

    • Consistent downward performance trend

  2. 📉 Mikal Bridges UNDER 19.5 PA (-120 FanDuel)

    • 9/10 games staying UNDER

    • Averaging 15.6 PA in L5

    • Solid value with reasonable juice

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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