The Daily Edge: 2/23 NBA Props Edition

Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

February 23, 2025

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🎯 Wendell Carter Jr. UNDER 13.5 PA

Best Price: -115 on DraftKings and ESPNBet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 10 PA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 10 PA

  • Last 5-Game Average: 9 PA

  • Season Average: 11 PA

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Wendell Carter’s recent form suggests he’ll fall short of 13.5 PA tonight. He averages 11 PA this season and has cleared this line just once in his last 10 games. While he hit 13.2 PA in January with more minutes, his February trend points downward.

Risk Factors

  • Averaged 13.2 PA in January

  • Fluctuation in minutes played factors into performance

🎯 Max Christie OVER 12.5 Points

Best Price: -120 on DraftKings and ESPNBet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 16 points

  • Last 3-Game Average: 17.3 points

  • Last 5-Game Average: 18 points

  • Season Average: 9.6 points

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Max Christie has been on fire, easily clearing 12.5 points in 9 of his last 10 games. He’s averaging 14.7 points against the Warriors, and his minutes have nearly doubled since the season started. His line is simply too low tonight.

Risk Factors

  • Season average falls well below current line

  • Potential lack of minutes played

🎯 Payton Pritchard OVER 17.5 PRA

Best Price: -110 on ESPNBet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 32 PRA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 25 PRA

  • Last 5-Game Average: 28.2 PRA

  • Season Average: 21.4 PRA

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Payton Pritchard has been a key bench piece for the Celtics. His season and recent trends support him clearing 17.5 PRA, averaging 22 PRA vs. the Knicks and 21.9 PRA at home. These odds are too good to pass up.

Risk Factors

  • Bench players have higher minute/point fluctuations

  • Potential blowout creates “garbage time” risk

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Payton Pritchard OVER 17.5 PRA (-110 ESPNBet)

  • Most consistent trend: 9/10 L10

  • Season average 21.4 above line

  • Insane value for possible 6MOY

1. 📈 Max Christie OVER 12.5 Points (-120 ESPNBet/DraftKings)

  • Hot streak: 9/10 L10

  • Averaging 17.1 PA L7

  • Minutes have doubled since season started

1. 📉 Wendell Carter Jr. UNDER 13.5 PA(-115 DraftKings/ESPNBet)

  • 9/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Recent average of 9PA in L5

  • Averaging lower minutes in February

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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