We bounced back yesterday with a solid 2-1 slate, finally snapping the mini-slump from earlier in the week. Today brings a beautiful MLB schedule, with games stretching from noon to late night—and we’re locked in with some high-confidence props. Let’s keep the momentum going and cash in!

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (05/06): 2-1 (66%; +0.6 Units)

MLB: 46-52 (47%; +4.88 Units)

NBA: 115-85 (58%; +42.38 Units)

May ‘25: 7-10 (41%; -4.62 Units)

All-Time: 171-152 (53%; +41.07 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Alex Bregman OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -150 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.72 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Alex Bregman's OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop at -150 on BetMGM looks like a strong play given both his recent production and historical matchup data. He’s cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including 3 of his last 5, showing consistent value. Though his 3-game average (1 H/R/RBI) is slightly below the line, his 5-game (2 H/R/RBI) and season average (2.72) are comfortably above. Bregman’s .400 average against Mahle in 10 at-bats and his strong .322 batting average versus right-handers this season further boost confidence. Mahle, who’s given up 23 hits and 5 runs over his last 7 games, appears vulnerable, especially against a hitter like Bregman who's trending upward.

Risk Factors

• Mahle 1.19 ERA on the season

🎯 Andrew McCutchen UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -120 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: .33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: .6 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.548 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

• 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Andrew McCutchen’s UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop at -120 on BetMGM presents strong value based on his recent struggles and matchup history. He’s gone under this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including a perfect 5-for-5 in his most recent outings. His short-term averages are well below the threshold—just 0.33 over his last 3 games and 0.6 over his last 5—compared to a season average of 1.548, indicating a clear downward trend. Facing Sonny Gray, who has limited McCutchen to a .200 average and is pitching effectively (37 hits and 18 runs over 39.1 IP), this looks like a tough spot for the veteran.

Risk Factors

• Sonny Gray has been hittable

🎯 Mike Yastrzemski OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -145 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 H/G

• Season Average: .969 H/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Mike Yastrzemski’s OVER 0.5 Hits prop at -145 on BetMGM is backed by consistent recent production and a favorable matchup. He’s hit safely in 4 of his last 5 games and 7 of his last 10, with averages of 1.0 and 1.2 hits per game over his last 3 and 5 games, respectively. His season average sits just under 1 hit per game at 0.969, suggesting he's a steady contributor. Yastrzemski’s .313 batting average against right-handers this season plays well against Ben Brown, who has surrendered 38 hits in 31.1 innings—over 1 hit per inning. Further supporting the over, the Cubs allow the most Hits per game in the MLB with 9.19.

Risk Factors

• Ben Brown 35 SO over 31.1 IP

🎯 Seattle Mariners Moneyline

Best Price: -144 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: Won

• Last 3-Game Average: 1-2

• Last 5-Game Average: 3-2

• Season Average: 21-14

• Confidence Score: 80

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 won

• 3 out of last 5 won

• 7 out of last 10 won

Key Analysis

The Seattle Mariners Moneyline at -144 on Pinnacle looks like a solid value play when factoring in recent team trends and the matchup advantages. While the Mariners are just 1-2 over their last three, they’ve won 7 of their last 10 and hold a strong 21-14 season record. This game features a strong pitching matchup on paper, but the edge tilts toward Seattle. Bryan Woo has been sharp, recording 38 strikeouts over 38.1 IP while allowing just 11 runs. Meanwhile, A’s starter Gunnar Hoglund has limited experience, allowing 6 hits over just 6 innings pitched—solid but a small sample. Offensively, the Mariners are averaging 5.11 runs per game compared to the A's 4.32, and they’re facing an Oakland team that allows more runs per game (4.95) than Seattle (4.26).

Risk Factors

• Athletics have been hot

• Hoglund 1.5 ERA (just 1 start)

🎯 Steven Kwan OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -130 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.417 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 81

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Steven Kwan’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -130 on ESPN Bet is well-supported by both recent form and matchup data. He’s cleared this line in 5 straight games, averaging a scorching 3 H/R/RBIs over his last 3 and 5 contests. His season average of 2.417 also comfortably clears the threshold, indicating strong consistency. Kwan’s .337 batting average against right-handed pitching aligns well with today’s matchup against Mike Soroka, who gave up 4 runs on 5 hits in just 5 innings in his season debut. Though Kwan is only 2-for-5 lifetime against Soroka, his elite contact skills and red-hot streak suggest high probability of another over.

Risk Factors

• Prop can depend on others in lineup to deliver

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Aaron Judge +180

• Jonah Heim +800

• Kyle Tucker +550

• Pete Alonso +295

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Steven Kwan OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130 ESPN Bet)

   • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

   • Averaging 3 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5 games

   • Kwan’s .337 batting average against right-handed pitching aligns well with today’s matchup against Mike Soroka, who gave up 4 runs on 5 hits in just 5 innings in his season debut

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Alex Bregman OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-150 BetMGM)

• Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

• Averaging 2 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• Bregman has a .400 average against Mahle in 10 at-bats and a strong .322 batting average versus right-handers this season. Mahle has given up 23 hits and 5 runs over his last 7 games

2. ⚡ Mike Yastrzemski OVER 0.5 Hits (-145 BetMGM)

• 4/L5 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.2 H/G over last 5

• Yastrzemski’s .313 batting average against right-handers this season plays well against Ben Brown, who has surrendered 38 hits in 31.1 innings—over 1 hit per inning

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Andrew McCutchen UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120 BetMGM)

• 5/L5 games staying UNDER

• Averaging just .6 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

• Sonny Gray, who has limited McCutchen to a .200 average and is pitching effectively (37 hits and 18 runs over 39.1 IP)

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Seattle Mariners Moneyline (-144 Pinnacle)

• Strong trend but even pitching matchup and season records

• Offensively, the Mariners are averaging 5.11 runs per game compared to the A's 4.32, and they’re facing an Oakland team that allows more runs per game (4.95) than Seattle (4.26)

• Mariners have won just 1 of their last 3, just 8-7 on the road this season

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team