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Thursday Night Showdown: Can Dallas Contain Philly’s Run Attack?
Outlining the top props for the first game of the 2025 NFL season

The Eagles open the season at home against their long-time rival with one of the league’s most dangerous offenses. Jalen Hurts remains the centerpiece, paired with Saquon Barkley, who piled up more than 2,000 total yards and scored 13 rushing touchdowns a year ago. Behind an offensive line that continues to rank among the NFL’s best, Philadelphia is built to control the ground game and dictate tempo.
Dallas enters with more questions than answers on defense. Trading away Micah Parsons stripped the Cowboys of their most disruptive pass rusher, leaving a front seven that struggled mightily in 2024. They allowed the most rushing touchdowns in the league and finished fourth worst in rushing yards surrendered, a combination that plays directly into Philadelphia’s strengths.
For the Cowboys to stay competitive, Dak Prescott will need to keep pace through the air. That means relying on CeeDee Lamb, who ranked among the top five in receptions last season, and new arrival George Pickens to test a Philadelphia secondary that gave up the fewest passing yards in the NFL in 2024.
Table of Contents
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Jalen Hurts OVER 39.5 Rushing Yards
Best Price: -106 on BetRivers

Jalen Hurts rushed for an average of 42 yards per game last season including a 56 yard performance against the Cowboys. As we mentioned in the intro, Dallas surrendered a league-worst number of rushing touchdowns last year and ranked among the worst rush defenses overall. With Micah Parsons gone, the Cowboys’ front lacks the edge pressure needed to contain quarterback scrambles. That being said, if the Eagles control the line of scrimmage with Saquon Barkley and build an early lead, Hurts will have more opportunities to extend drives with his legs.
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🎯 CeeDee Lamb OVER 6.5 Receptions
Best Price: +110 on Caesars

CeeDee Lamb has consistently produced against Philadelphia, averaging over five catches per game in nine career meetings. He was heavily targeted in their matchup last season catching 6 of his 10 targets. With George Pickens stretching the field and Dak Prescott likely playing from behind, Lamb should see double-digit targets again. Against an Eagles defense that thrives against the run but can be tested through volume in the air, over 6.5 receptions is a strong look tonight.
🎯 Philadelphia Eagles -9.5 Spread
Best Price: +107 on Pinnacle

Philadelphia enters this season opener as a heavy favorite, sitting at -8.5 across most books. The number reflects the clear mismatch in the trenches and the Cowboys’ defensive drop-off after trading away Micah Parsons. Pair this with a mobile QB and one of the NFLs leading rushers and you’re bound to see a lopsided score. Wile it should be understood that this a new season with fresh stats, the Eagles out scored the Cowboys by 8.4 PPG last season and are starting the season as home favorites after winning the SuperBowl.
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