Week 1 of the NFL season gave us a strong start, but the weeks since have been a bit of a grind. Tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup is a chance to flip the momentum back in our favor. We’re locked in on four props that show clear value, and together they bring 4.38 units of potential profit. Let’s dive into the plays that can get us back on track.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (09/24): 2-1 (67%; +0.5 Units)

NFL: 23-28 (45%; +4.52 Units)

September ‘25: 36-46 (44%; -5.5 Units)

All-Time: 369-331 (53%; +51 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 83.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -112 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 96 yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 107.7 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

Smith-Njigba has been on a tear lately, clearing this number in three straight while averaging nearly 108 yards per game over that stretch. His role as a reliable target has only grown, and he’s showing the ability to win at all depths of the field. The matchup sets up nicely as well, Arizona ranks near the bottom of the league in passing yards allowed, despite facing mostly modest quarterbacks like Bryce Young, Mac Jones, and Spencer Rattler. With his recent volume and efficiency, JSN has multiple avenues to cash this line again.

Risk Factors

• Targeted only 6 times last game compared to 10 and 13 in the first 2 games

🎯 Kyler Murray OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 37 rushing yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 35.7 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3

Key Analysis

Murray has quietly returned to being a consistent rushing threat, topping this line in three straight games while averaging just under 36 yards per outing. His mobility remains a key weapon both in designed runs and broken plays, giving him a steady floor. With defenses often dropping into coverage against Arizona’s spread looks, running lanes continue to open up for him. At a line under 30, Murray’s recent usage and ability to extend plays make this a strong spot to keep the streak alive.

Risk Factors

• Murray cannot gain big chunks of yardage and needs too many attempts to clear

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🎯 Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Best Price: +165 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Passing TD

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.3 TD/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3

Key Analysis

Darnold comes into this matchup with some sneaky value at plus money. He’s thrown for multiple scores in two of his last three, and Arizona’s defensive profile suggests the air is the best way to attack them. The Cardinals have been tough on the ground, ranking 4th in fewest rushing yards allowed, which should push the Seahawks into a more pass-heavy script inside the red zone. With playmakers at his disposal and a favorable price, Darnold has a real path to clearing this number.

Risk Factors

• Under 25 pass attempts per game and a strong runner in Walker III

🎯 AJ Barner OVER 16.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -108 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 23 receiving yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 16.3 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3

Key Analysis

Barner has quietly become a reliable outlet in the passing game, clearing this line in two of his last three while averaging just over 16 yards in that span. The matchup also works in his favor, Arizona has struggled against tight ends, giving up more than 50 yards per game to opposing TE1s. Even with modest target volume, Barner has shown he can convert a couple of looks into efficient gains, and one or two chunk plays could be enough to push him past this low number.

Risk Factors

• Averaging just 2 targets per game this season

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+165 Caesars)

   • Most consistent trend: 2/3 in L3

   • 2 passing TD in each of his last 2

   • The Cardinals have been tough on the ground, ranking 4th in fewest rushing yards allowed, which should push San Francisco into a more pass-heavy script inside the red zone

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 83.5 Receiving Yards (-112 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 3/3 in L3

• Averaging 107.7 yds/g in L3

• Arizona ranks near the bottom of the league in passing yards allowed, despite facing mostly modest quarterbacks like Bryce Young, Mac Jones, and Spencer Rattler

2. ⚡ Kyler Murray OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards (-110 DraftKings)

• 3/L3 games going OVER

• Averaging 35.7 yds/g over last 3

• With defenses often dropping into coverage against Arizona’s spread looks, running lanes continue to open up for him

3. 💥 AJ Barner OVER 16.5 Receiving Yards (-108 DraftKings)

• 2/L3 games going OVER

• Averaging 16.3 yds/g over last 3

• Arizona has struggled against tight ends, giving up more than 50 yards per game to opposing TE1s

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team