We’re looking for a momentum shift, and tonight’s TNF matchup brings a few clear edges we’re ready to capitalize on. Starting fresh with a Bank Builder Challenge, beginning with $25 and aiming to steadily flip it using plays in the -115 to +115 odds range. It’s a simple, disciplined approach built on value and consistency. A dip in production is part of the game in this industry, it happens to everyone. What matters is how you respond, and we’re not dodging it or backing down. New week, new mindset, same focus.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

NFL: 42-48 (47%; -2.4 Units)

October ‘25: 14-19 (43%; -5.8 Units)

All-Time: 397-361 (52%; +47 Units)

🪜 WagerLens Bank Builder Challenge

Bet 1: $25 —> $52.85

Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline

Ja’Marr Chase OVER 59.5 Receiving Yards

+111 Total Odds on FanDuel

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Aaron Rodgers OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Best Price: -122 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 TD

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 TD/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 2 TD/G

• Season Average: 2 TD/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Aaron Rodgers’ line of 1.5 passing touchdowns looks like a strong play on the over given both his consistency and the defensive matchup. He’s averaging 2.0 passing TDs per game on the season and has gone over this mark in 2 of his last 3 and 3 of his last 5. Rodgers continues to operate efficiently, averaging 27.6 pass attempts per game, and remains one of the league’s most reliable red-zone quarterbacks. The matchup sets up well, the Bengals are allowing 2.2 passing touchdowns per game and giving up 258.5 passing yards on average, one of the softer marks in the league. With a pass-heavy game plan and a defense prone to air attack breakdowns, Rodgers has a strong chance to throw for at least two scores again.

Risk Factors

• Jaylen Warren back and the Bengals are just as weak against the ground game as they are passing game

🎯 DK Metcalf OVER 64.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 95 Yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 84.33 Yds/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 71.2 Yds/g

• Season Average: 71.2 Yds/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

DK Metcalf’s receiving line of 64.5 yards looks like a strong over play based on both recent production and chemistry with Aaron Rodgers. Metcalf has averaged 84.3 yards per game over his last three and 71.2 on the season, clearing this number in 2 of his last 3 and 3 of his last 5 contests. He’s coming off a 95-yard performance and has been explosive lately, averaging 24.6 yards per reception across his last two games while drawing 7 targets per game in that span. The matchup adds further appeal, the Bengals are allowing 258.5 passing yards per game, ranking among the more vulnerable pass defenses. With Rodgers heating up and Metcalf emerging as his go-to deep threat, this line sits below his current trajectory.

Risk Factors

• Low floor for receiving yards with as little as 20 in a game

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🎯 Steelers @ Bengals OVER 43.5 Total Points

Best Price: -120 on BetRivers

Key Analysis

The Steelers @ Bengals OVER 43.5 (-120) projects as a strong value play when you break down both scoring and defensive averages. Pittsburgh is averaging 23.8 points per game, while Cincinnati is putting up 17.2, which combines for roughly 41 points, just below the total. However, the defensive numbers suggest upward pressure on scoring: the Bengals are allowing 30.5 points per game, and the Steelers are giving up 21.4, creating a combined projection closer to 46 total points if both teams perform near their season norms. With both defenses showing cracks and the Bengals’ games trending higher scoring recently, the over sits at a reasonable threshold that aligns with expected game flow and matchup data.

Risk Factors

• Both teams have boom or bust tendencies

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team