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Tonight’s Best MLB Bets 🔥 – Don’t Miss These Hot Picks!
Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

Table of Contents
We've got a packed sports slate today with a full lineup of MLB games and the NCAA College Basketball Championship taking center stage. While we’re staying off the championship game from a betting perspective, Florida looks to have the edge. Over in the NBA, just two games on the schedule as teams gear up for the playoffs. Lets find an edge and make some money!
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
Yesterday (04/06): 1-2 (33%)
MLB: 4-4 (50%)
April ‘25: 9-9 (50%)
All-Time: 119-101 (54%)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Tommy Pham UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance
Last Game: 3 H/R/RBI
Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/R/RBI per Game
Last 5-Game Average: 0.6 H/R/RBI per Game
Season Batting Average: .100 average
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 under
4 out of last 5 under
9 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Tommy Pham is off to a rocky start. Over his last five games, Pham has averaged 0.6 H/R/RBI per game, staying under the 1.5 threshold in four of those contests. His season batting average stands at a meager .100, indicating a significant slump at the plate. Historically, this prop has hit the under in nine of the last ten games, underscoring a consistent trend. Additionally, Pham is 0-for-4 in his career against Cardinals' starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore, further suggesting he may struggle in this matchup.
Risk Factors
Liberatore gave up 3 runs on 6 hits in first start
🎯 Spencer Torkleson OVER 0.5 Hits
Best Price: -145 on FanDuel

Recent Performance
Last Game: 1 hit
Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/G
Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/G
Season Batting Average: .324 average
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
Key Analysis
Spencer Torkelson is in a solid spot to record at least one hit today, making the Over 0.5 Hits prop an appealing play. He’s hitting .324 on the season and has been consistently productive at the plate, averaging 1.33 hits per game over his last three and 1 hit per game over his last five. He’s cleared this prop in each of his last three games and in four of his last five overall. Adding to the optimism, Torkelson has posted a stellar 1.143 OPS against Carlos Rodón, who’s given up seven hits across his first two starts. With both recent form and matchup data pointing in his favor, the over looks like a strong bet here.
Risk Factors
11 Ks over last 7 games for Torkleson
🎯 Trevor Larnach OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Best Price: +105 on BetMGM

Recent Performance
Last Game: 4 H/R/RBI
Last 3-Game Average: 2.67 H/R/RBI per Game
Last 5-Game Average: 2.0 H/R/RBI per Game
Season Batting Average: .259 average
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
Key Analysis
Trevor Larnach is trending well heading into today’s matchup, making the Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop a strong consideration. He’s averaged 2.67 H/R/RBI over his last three games and 2.0 over his last five, including a 4 H/R/RBI performance in his most recent outing. On the season, he’s batting a respectable .259, .318 against RHP, and he’s cleared this prop in each of his last three games, and four of his last five. He’ll be facing Michael Lorenzen, who struggled in his first start—allowing 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks—providing Larnach with a favorable opportunity to stay hot at the plate.
Risk Factors
Positive odds suggest unlikely probability
First time facing Lorenzen
Could be dependent on teammates performance
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:
Best Value Plays
🔥 Trevor Larnach OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+105 BetMGM)
Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5
Averaging 2.67 H/R/RBI over his last three games
Batting a respectable .259, .318 against RHP, and he’s cleared this prop in each of his last three games
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Spencer Torkleson OVER 0.5 Hits (-145 FanDuel)
Hot streak: 4/5 in L5
Averaging 1 Hit per Game in L5
Torkelson has posted a stellar 1.143 OPS against Carlos Rodón, who’s given up seven hits across his first two starts
Trending Unders
1. 📉 Tommy Pham UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 ESPNBet)
9/L10 games staying UNDER
Averaging just 0.6 H/R/RBI per game over last 5 games
Pham has started the season with a .100 bating average across 30 ABs and 0-for-4 in his career against Cardinals' starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
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— The WagerLens Team