Tonight’s Best MLB Bets 🔥 – Don’t Miss These Hot Picks!

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We've got a packed sports slate today with a full lineup of MLB games and the NCAA College Basketball Championship taking center stage. While we’re staying off the championship game from a betting perspective, Florida looks to have the edge. Over in the NBA, just two games on the schedule as teams gear up for the playoffs. Lets find an edge and make some money!

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/06): 1-2 (33%)

MLB: 4-4 (50%)

April ‘25: 9-9 (50%)

All-Time: 119-101 (54%)

🎯 Tommy Pham UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 3 H/R/RBI

  • Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/R/RBI per Game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 0.6 H/R/RBI per Game

  • Season Batting Average: .100 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 under

  • 4 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

​Tommy Pham is off to a rocky start. Over his last five games, Pham has averaged 0.6 H/R/RBI per game, staying under the 1.5 threshold in four of those contests. His season batting average stands at a meager .100, indicating a significant slump at the plate. Historically, this prop has hit the under in nine of the last ten games, underscoring a consistent trend. Additionally, Pham is 0-for-4 in his career against Cardinals' starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore, further suggesting he may struggle in this matchup.

Risk Factors

  • Liberatore gave up 3 runs on 6 hits in first start

🎯 Spencer Torkleson OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -145 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 1 hit

  • Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/G

  • Season Batting Average: .324 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Spencer Torkelson is in a solid spot to record at least one hit today, making the Over 0.5 Hits prop an appealing play. He’s hitting .324 on the season and has been consistently productive at the plate, averaging 1.33 hits per game over his last three and 1 hit per game over his last five. He’s cleared this prop in each of his last three games and in four of his last five overall. Adding to the optimism, Torkelson has posted a stellar 1.143 OPS against Carlos Rodón, who’s given up seven hits across his first two starts. With both recent form and matchup data pointing in his favor, the over looks like a strong bet here.

Risk Factors

  • 11 Ks over last 7 games for Torkleson

🎯 Trevor Larnach OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +105 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 4 H/R/RBI

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2.67 H/R/RBI per Game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2.0 H/R/RBI per Game

  • Season Batting Average: .259 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Trevor Larnach is trending well heading into today’s matchup, making the Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop a strong consideration. He’s averaged 2.67 H/R/RBI over his last three games and 2.0 over his last five, including a 4 H/R/RBI performance in his most recent outing. On the season, he’s batting a respectable .259, .318 against RHP, and he’s cleared this prop in each of his last three games, and four of his last five. He’ll be facing Michael Lorenzen, who struggled in his first start—allowing 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks—providing Larnach with a favorable opportunity to stay hot at the plate.

Risk Factors

  • Positive odds suggest unlikely probability

  • First time facing Lorenzen

  • Could be dependent on teammates performance

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Trevor Larnach OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+105 BetMGM)

    • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

    • Averaging 2.67 H/R/RBI over his last three games

    • Batting a respectable .259, .318 against RHP, and he’s cleared this prop in each of his last three games

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Spencer Torkleson OVER 0.5 Hits (-145 FanDuel)

  • Hot streak: 4/5 in L5

  • Averaging 1 Hit per Game in L5

  • Torkelson has posted a stellar 1.143 OPS against Carlos Rodón, who’s given up seven hits across his first two starts

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Tommy Pham UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 ESPNBet)

  • 9/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Averaging just 0.6 H/R/RBI per game over last 5 games

  • Pham has started the season with a .100 bating average across 30 ABs and 0-for-4 in his career against Cardinals' starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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