Yesterday didn’t go quite as planned, finishing 2-3 on the card. Fortunately, the Astros helped soften the blow by cashing their +155 moneyline, limiting the damage to just -0.54 units. Today’s 10-game MLB slate brings fresh opportunities, and we’ve locked in a few plays with serious profit potential. Let’s bounce back and get in the green.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (07/06): 2-3 (40%; -0.54 Units)

MLB: 141-118 (54%; +23.22 Units)

July ‘25: 12-7 (63%; +4.87 Units)

All-Time: 266-219 (55%; +58.41 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

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🎯 Kyle Stowers OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -120 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Kyle Stowers has been a steady contributor at the plate, and the over on 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -120 is backed by strong trends. He’s hit this line in 8 of his last 10 games, with a 5-game average of 2.4 H/R/RBIs and a season average of 2.0. While his 3-game average has dipped to 1.33, the matchup offers a bounce-back opportunity. Stowers holds a .347 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Brady Singer, who carries a 4.36 ERA and has allowed 3+ hits in 11 straight starts. With Stowers’ ability to get on base and a hittable arm on the mound, he’s in a great spot to clear this number.

Risk Factors

• Cashing could depend on others in the lineup to produce

🎯 Brenton Doyle OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +100 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.587 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 90

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Brenton Doyle is in excellent form, and the over on 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at even money offers strong value. He’s cleared this line in 5 straight games and 8 of his last 10, with averages of 2.67 over his last 3 and 2.6 over his last 5, well above his season mark of 1.587. He faces Richard Fitts, who holds a 4.50 ERA and has allowed 2+ hits in every start this season. With Doyle seeing the ball well and producing across the board, this is a plus-money prop with strong upside in a favorable matchup.

Risk Factors

• Stats drop against RHP

🎯 Henry Davis UNDER 0.5 Total Bases

Best Price: +120 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.33 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 TB/G

• Season Average: 0.952 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 89

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 under

• 3 out of last 5 under

• 7 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Henry Davis has been cold at the plate, and the under on 0.5 total bases at +120 presents solid value. He’s gone under this line in 7 of his last 10 games, with a 3-game average of just 0.33 TB and a season average under 1.0. He’s also struggled in the split, hitting just .167 against left-handed pitching. While he did record a hit in his last game, recent form and poor numbers vs LHP suggest he may have a hard time reaching base again today. At plus money, the under is well-supported by the trends.

Risk Factors

• Cameron has been hittable

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Romy Gonzalez +310

• Kyle Stowers +340

• Nick Castellanos +950

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Henry Davis UNDER 0.5 Total Bases (+120 Pinancle)

   • Most consistent trend: 7/10 in L10

   • Averaging 0.33 TB/G over last 3 games

   • Struggled in the split, hitting just .167 against left-handed pitching

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Kyle Stowers OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

• Averaging 2.4 H/R/RBIs in L5

• Stowers holds a .347 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Brady Singer, who carries a 4.36 ERA and has allowed 3+ hits in 11 straight starts

2. ⚡ Brenton Doyle OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 DraftKings)

• 5/L5 games going OVER

• Averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs in L5

• He faces Richard Fitts, who holds a 4.50 ERA and has allowed 2+ hits in every start this season

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team