Yesterday’s NFL picks did not go as planned. We went 1-5 on straights with Gibbs falling 1 reception short, Rodgers throwing a pick in the end zone, and Lamar Jackson throwing 3 too many passes. As one of our subscribers put it, the picks were “hot garbage”. Luckily, we posted a 4-leg ML parlay on our X account that cashed at +774, saving our bankroll. Tonight we have 2 MNF games and were locked in ready to turn yesterday’s losses into today’s wins.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (09/14): 2-5 (28%; +3.64 Units)

NFL: 17-16 (52%; +6.82 Units)

September ‘25: 22-26 (46%; +1.93 Units)

All-Time: 355-311 (53%; +55.4 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Sterling Shepard OVER 21.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -114 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 39 Receiving Yards

Key Analysis

Sterling Shepard’s OVER 21.5 receiving yards at -114 on DraftKings sets up as a sneaky value play. He went for 39 yards last game on 6 targets, averaging 13 yards per catch, which means just a couple of connections could get him over this modest line. The Texans just allowed 245 passing yards to the Rams, and with the Buccaneers struggling to generate much on the ground in Week 1, even with Baker Mayfield leading them in rushing yards, the passing game should once again take on a heavier load. If Shepard continues to earn a steady target share, he has multiple paths to clear this number with efficiency.

Risk Factors

• Egbuka and Evans sharing targets and combined for 118 yards last game

🎯 Justin Herbert OVER 249.5 Passing Yards

Best Price: -120 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 318 Passing Yards

Key Analysis

Justin Herbert’s OVER 249.5 passing yards at -120 on DraftKings looks well within reach given both his track record and the matchup. He threw for 318 yards last week, showing his comfort pushing the ball downfield and spreading it around. The Raiders’ secondary just surrendered 287 yards to Drake Maye and the Patriots, which highlights their vulnerability against stronger passing attacks. Herbert also has a solid supporting cast, McConkey, Allen, and Johnston combined for 221 yards in Week 1, giving him multiple reliable targets who can create separation and yards after the catch. With volume, talent, and matchup all lining up, this number feels beatable as long as game script doesn’t unexpectedly tilt run-heavy.

Risk Factors

• Chargers utilize their talented backfield more than they did in week 1

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🎯 Brock Bowers OVER 61.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -111 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 103 Receiving Yards

Key Analysis

Brock Bowers’ OVER 61.5 receiving yards at -111 on DraftKings looks like a strong angle based on volume and matchup. He posted 103 yards on 5 catches (8 targets) in Week 1, picking up right where he left off from last season when he averaged 9 targets and 70 yards per game. The Chargers just showed against the Chiefs that they can bottle up the run, which suggests Geno Smith may have to lean heavier on the passing game to move the chains. With Bowers already emerging as a high-volume, high-efficiency option, this line sits below both his Week 1 production and his 2024 average, giving him multiple avenues to clear it through consistent usage and chunk plays.

Risk Factors

• Bowers suffered a knee injury last week and may play less snaps

🎯 Xavier Hutchinson OVER 17.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -108 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 30 Receiving Yards

Key Analysis

Xavier Hutchinson’s OVER 17.5 receiving yards at -108 on DraftKings looks like a sneaky value spot. He put up 30 yards in Week 1, comfortably clearing this line, and should see another bump in involvement with Christian Kirk sidelined again. The Buccaneers’ defense just gave up nearly 300 passing yards to Michael Penix and the Falcons, showing plenty of vulnerability through the air. With defenses focusing more attention on Nico Collins, Hutchinson could benefit from softer coverage and a few designed looks. Given his ability to turn limited targets into chunk gains, this modest number is very attainable if he sees even a couple of opportunities.

Risk Factors

• Only 2 targets in week 1, little volume means he will need larger gains to help clear this line

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team