Tough break yesterday as we went 0-1 on our daily picks — Kris Bubic came up just one strikeout short, and Byron Buxton was a late scratch. On the bright side, we cashed Day 1 of our ladder challenge and are rolling into Day 2 with momentum. Today's slate is a little lighter in MLB, but the NBA playoffs heat up, with the Cavs looking to complete a first-round sweep.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 🪜WagerLens Ladder Challenge

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/26): 0-1 (0%; -1 Units)

MLB: 37-37 (50%; +12.63 Units)

NBA: 115-84 (58%; +43.38 Units)

April ‘25: 52-44 (55%; +25.56 Units)

All-Time: 162-136 (55%; +49.83 Units)

🪜WagerLens Ladder Challenge

A betting ladder challenge is where you start with a small stake and try to grow it by making a series of consecutive bets, reinvesting all winnings each time. You usually bet on heavy favorites to lower the risk. If you win every step, your small start can turn into a big payout — but if you lose once, the ladder ends.

• Day 1: $10 -> $19.83 ✅

• Day 2: $19.83 → $39.57 ❓

• 📉 Xavier Edwards UNDER 0.5 Stolen Bases (-235 DraftKings)

• 📈 Mark Vientos OVER 0.5 Hits (-250 DraftKings)

• -101 Total Odds on DraftKings

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Gavin Lux OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +100 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.077 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 96

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Gavin Lux's OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop at +100 on BetMGM looks like a strong value based on his recent performance and matchup. Lux has been extremely consistent, going over this number in 9 of his last 10 games, including each of his last 3. His production has been steady, averaging 3 H/R/RBIs per game over the past three games and 2.8 over the last five, both well above the 1.5 mark. On the season, he's averaging 2.077 H/R/RBIs, further supporting the play. Lux faces Andre Pallante, who has struggled this year, allowing 24 hits and 12 runs over just 26.2 innings. Adding to the case, Lux is batting .375 against right-handed pitching (72 ABs) and an even stronger .423 with runners in scoring position (26 ABs).

Risk Factors

• 0-5 career vs Pallante

🎯 Carlos Santana UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -150 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: .67 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: .4 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 1.462 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

• 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Carlos Santana's UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -150 on DraftKings profiles as a strong play based on his recent struggles and poor matchup history. Santana has stayed under this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including five straight, while averaging just 0.67 H/R/RBIs over his last three games and 0.4 over his last five. Although his season average sits at 1.462, his current form is well below that mark. Facing Bailey Ober, a pitcher he's 0-for-10 against in his career, further stacks the odds against him. Additionally, Santana is hitting just .167 with runners in scoring position (18 ABs) and an even worse .158 at home, making the UNDER even more appealing.

Risk Factors

• Ober has been hittable this season (25 IP, 29 H, 14 ER)

🎯 Detroit Tigers Moneyline

Best Price: -110 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: Won

• Last 3-Game Average: 3-0

• Last 5-Game Average: 4-1

• Season Average: 18-10

• Confidence Score: 78

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 Won

• 4 out of last 5 Won

• 8 out of last 10 Won

Key Analysis

The Detroit Tigers Moneyline at -110 on FanDuel looks like a strong value given their recent form and pitching advantage. The Tigers have won 8 of their last 10 games, including their last 3 straight, and are 18-10 overall on the season. Jack Flaherty gives them a strong edge on the mound, posting a 2.63 ERA with 34 strikeouts over 27.1 innings. Offensively, Detroit is averaging 4.6 runs per game, outpacing the Astros' 3.7 RPG. Meanwhile, Houston’s starter, Ronel Blanco, has been hittable, allowing 20 hits, 13 earned runs, and 12 walks over 23.1 innings.

Risk Factors

• Astros capable of providing run support

🎯 Stephen Curry OVER 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Best Price: -115 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 52 PRA

• Last 3-Game Average: 42 PRA/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 39 PRA/G

• Season Average: 35.3 PRA/G

• Confidence Score: 84

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Stephen Curry’s OVER 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists at -115 on DraftKings is well-supported by his recent uptick in production and a potentially favorable game environment. Curry is averaging 42 PRA over his last three games and 39 PRA over his last five, both above the 37.5 line, and he just posted a massive 52 PRA in his last outing. While his season average sits slightly lower at 35.3 PRA, his recent form is trending upward, and he’s cleared this number in 7 of his last 10 games. The potential absence of Jimmy Butler, who is questionable for tonight’s game, could further boost Curry’s scoring and playmaking opportunities.

Risk Factors

• Line above season average

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Austin Riley +380

• Tommy Edman +850

• Kerry Carpenter +330

• Aaron Judge +185

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Gavin Lux OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 BetMGM)

   • Most consistent trend: 9/10 in L10

   • Averaging 2.8 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • Faces Andre Pallante, who has struggled this year, allowing 24 hits and 12 runs over just 26.2 innings. Lux is batting .375 against right-handed pitching (72 ABs) and an even stronger .423 with runners in scoring position (26 ABs)

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-110 on FanDuel)

• Hot streak: 4/5 in L5

• Averaging 4.6 runs per game, outpacing the Astros' 3.7 RPG

• Jack Flaherty gives them a strong edge on the mound, posting a 2.63 ERA with 34 strikeouts over 27.1 innings

2. ⚡ Stephen Curry OVER 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 DraftKings)

• 7/L10 games going OVER

• Curry is averaging 42 PRA over his last three games and 39 PRA over his last five, both above the 37.5 line

• Potential absence of Jimmy Butler, who is questionable for tonight’s game, could further boost Curry’s scoring and playmaking opportunities

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Carlos Santana UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-150 DraftKings)

• 5/L5 games staying UNDER

• Averaging .4 H/R/RBIs per game over L5

• Facing Bailey Ober, a pitcher he's 0-for-10 against in his career. Hitting just .167 with runners in scoring position (18 ABs) and an even worse .158 at home

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team