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Week 3 Player Prop Edges You Can’t Ignore
Six spots where usage, matchups, and trends line up for value

We closed out the week strong with a clean Friday sweep on the MLB card, and now all eyes are on a packed Week 3 NFL slate. The matchups bring both value and excitement, and we’ve zeroed in on six props that stand out. Between the straight bets, there’s 5.6 units of potential profit on the table, plus a +669 moneyline parlay that adds some extra juice to the weekend. Let’s keep the momentum rolling and aim for another sweep.
Table of Contents
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
NFL: 21-20 (51%; +6.4 Units)
September ‘25: 32-35 (48%; +2.23 Units)
All-Time: 365-320 (53%; +55.7 Units)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Russell Wilson OVER 33.5 Pass Attempts
Best Price: -101 on DraftKings

Recent Performance
Last Game: 41 Pass Attempts
Season Average: 39 Atts/G
Key Analysis
Russell Wilson’s OVER 33.5 pass attempts looks appealing given his early-season workload and the matchup. He has cleared this line in both games so far with 37 and 41 attempts, averaging 39 per game. The Giants have leaned heavily on his arm, and game flow has consistently pushed him into higher-volume situations. Kansas City also showed in Week 1 that their opponents can rack up attempts, as Justin Herbert threw 34 passes for 318 yards against them. With Wilson already showing consistent passing volume and the Chiefs’ defense inviting opponents to throw in catch-up or competitive scripts, this line sits below his demonstrated usage.
Risk Factors
Run game works and Wilson is limited on passing
🎯 Jordan Love OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Best Price: +100 on BetMGM

Recent Performance
Last Game: 2 TD
Season Average: 2 TD/G
Key Analysis
Jordan Love’s OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns at even money presents strong value based on both consistency and matchup. He has thrown exactly 2 touchdowns in each of his first two games, right on pace with his season average of 2 per game. The Browns’ secondary just surrendered 4 passing touchdowns to Lamar Jackson last week, highlighting vulnerabilities that Love can exploit. With Green Bay showing trust in his red zone passing and the opponent’s defense struggling to contain quarterbacks, Love has a clear path to clearing this line again.
Risk Factors
Short yardage red zone situations leading to rushing TDs
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🎯 Chuba Hubbard OVER 16.5 Receiving Yards
Best Price: -107 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance
Last Game: 39 Receiving Yds
Season Average: 35.5 Rec Yds/G
Key Analysis
Chuba Hubbard’s OVER 16.5 receiving yards looks like a strong angle given his usage through the first two weeks. He’s averaging 35.5 receiving yards per game, more than double this line, and just posted 39 yards in his last outing. With 11 targets across two games, Hubbard is being consistently worked into the passing game, and his 8.9 yards per catch means he can cover this number with just two receptions. As long as he maintains his role as a reliable checkdown and outlet option, this line is set low relative to his early-season production.
Risk Factors
Falcons have allowed limited receiving yards to opposing RBs
🎯 Jakobi Myers OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards
Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance
Last Game: 68 Yds
Season Average: 82.5 Yds/G
Key Analysis
Jakobi Myers’ OVER 62.5 receiving yards looks well within reach considering his early-season production and matchup. He has averaged 82.5 yards per game so far and just posted 68 yards in his last outing, keeping him consistently above this number. With 22 targets already on the season, Myers is clearly a focal point in the passing attack, and his 11.8 yards per catch means he does not need massive volume to get there. Washington just allowed 292 passing yards to Green Bay last week, showing they can be vulnerable through the air, which further boosts Myers’ outlook.
Risk Factors
Myers is catching just 63.6% of his targets
🎯 Jonathan Taylor OVER 108.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance
Last Game: 215 Rushing + Receiving Yds
Season Average: 156.5 Rushing + Receiving Yds/G
Key Analysis
Jonathan Taylor’s OVER 108.5 rushing plus receiving yards stands out as a strong play given both his form and the matchup. He erupted for 215 total yards in his last game and is averaging 156.5 per game this season, comfortably above this line. The Titans’ defense has been gashed on the ground in back-to-back weeks, giving up 155 rushing yards to the Rams and 151 to the Broncos, which suggests Taylor should find plenty of room to operate. With his ability to contribute both as a runner and pass-catcher, this number sits well below his established production and aligns with the vulnerabilities Tennessee has shown.
Risk Factors
Titans shut down the run game
🎯 Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 58.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Best Price: -110 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance
Last Game: 142 Rushing + Receiving yards
Season Average: 84.5 Yds/G
Key Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson’s OVER 58.5 rushing plus receiving yards looks like a favorable angle given both his recent performance and the matchup. He exploded for 142 total yards in his last game, which is nearly triple the posted line and well above his season average of 84.5 yards per game. The Steelers’ defense has been especially vulnerable to versatile running backs, surrendering 145 combined yards to Breece Hall in Week 1 and 118 to Kenneth Walker in Week 2. Stevenson’s dual-threat role as both a runner and pass-catcher gives him multiple paths to production, and with the way Pittsburgh has struggled against backs, this number feels well within reach.
Risk Factors
Steelers make adjustments to limit the run game
NFL Moneyline Parlay
Washington Commanders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts
💰 +669 on DraftKings
NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Edge
NFL players most likely to reach the end zone, backed by stats and matchups.
Patrick Mahomes
D'Andre Swift
Rhamondre Stevenson
CeeDee Lamb
Cooper Kupp
Tucker Kraft
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!
— The WagerLens Team